{"id":4896,"date":"2019-10-30T08:48:03","date_gmt":"2019-10-30T00:48:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/?p=4896"},"modified":"2019-10-30T11:19:06","modified_gmt":"2019-10-30T03:19:06","slug":"so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"So You Think You Can Time The Markets?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>While having a wander around the web, I found a really neat interactive game. It lets you try your hand at choosing when to buy and sell stocks over a ten year period based on news headlines which flash up underneath the graph and compares your performance to that of someone who chose to buy and hold the same value of stocks ($10,000) over the same period. So you think you can time the markets?<\/p>\n<p>You can check out the link and have a go <a href=\"https:\/\/www.personalfinanceclub.com\/time-the-market-game\/\">here<\/a>. On my first try my investment of $10,000 grew to $14,369. Not bad you might think, but my return was less than half that of my buy and hold opponent who ended up with $19,130. In actual fact, my performance was pretty miserable \u2013 in a market that grew 6.7% per year, I made a dismal 3.7%, losing out by 2.8% per year.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, it\u2019s just a game but there is a serious lesson to be learnt here and it is this:<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Trying to time the markets is a poor investment strategy<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>And here are four reasons why:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><strong>1. Timing the markets is fiendishly difficult<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The aim is simple \u2013 buy when prices are lowest and sell when they are highest &#8211; but the execution is another matter altogether. No-one ever knows the precise moment when a stock price will peak or trough so deciding the exact right time to sell is a guessing game. Even though investment managers have vast amounts of data at their fingertips to base their decisions on, with so many different factors having an influence trading is by no means a science.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><strong>2. You have to get the timing right twice<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Assuming that most movements in and out of financial markets are switching between different funds, shares or asset classes, as opposed to cashing in investments, there are two timing decisions to be made: when to sell and when to buy back in. The chances of timing both decisions to perfection? Slim.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><strong>3. Timing the markets is stressful<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Decision-making requires thought and effort and making decisions that you regret can cause disappointment and ruminating on how your timing could have been better is inevitable. All that takes up mental energy which I\u2019m sure you could employ much more profitably elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><strong>4. Timing the markets affects performance<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Market timers attempting to avoid downside damage when they expect markets to fall will sell and convert investments to cash or other assets. However, research has showed that the best days in the markets tend to follow some of the worst so the chances of missing out on those is high. And that can seriously impact savings.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4902\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/time-the-markets.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1001\" height=\"385\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/time-the-markets.jpg 1001w, https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/time-the-markets-300x115.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/time-the-markets-768x295.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1001px) 100vw, 1001px\" \/>I genuinely believe that the difficulties inherent in predicting market movements with consistency means that a market timing strategy is not going to offer any significant advantages over buy-and-hold for the average investor. That is why our policy at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/about-us\/\">Infinity<\/a> is to advise the vast majority of our clients to favour buy-and-hold with a diversified portfolio which spreads risk and periodic reviews for occasional rebalancing. That has proved to be the most effective route to capital growth over the long term.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While having a wander around the web, I found a really neat interactive game. It lets you try your hand at choosing when to buy and sell stocks over a ten year period based on news headlines which flash up underneath the graph and compares your performance to that of someone who chose to buy&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":4897,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"categories":[66,69],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4896","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-viewpoint","category-financial-planning","category-66","category-69","description-off"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>So You Think You Can Time The Markets? | Infinity Financial Solutions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Trying to time the markets is a poor investment strategy. A diversified portfolio which spreads risk and periodic reviews is the most effective route.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"So You Think You Can Time The Markets? | Infinity Financial Solutions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Trying to time the markets is a poor investment strategy. A diversified portfolio which spreads risk and periodic reviews is the most effective route.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Infinity Financial Solutions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/infinityfinancialsolutions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-10-30T00:48:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-10-30T03:19:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/bigstock-Successful-Trader-Back-View-O-299291422.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"601\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Trevor Keidan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@investmentasia\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@investmentasia\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Trevor Keidan\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trevor Keidan\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/#\/schema\/person\/8367aa05bbd22d3ef50e92e966115c14\"},\"headline\":\"So You Think You Can Time The Markets?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-30T00:48:03+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-10-30T03:19:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\"},\"wordCount\":522,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/bigstock-Successful-Trader-Back-View-O-299291422.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Viewpoint\",\"Financial Planning\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/\",\"name\":\"So You Think You Can Time The Markets? | Infinity Financial Solutions\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/blog\/financial-planning\/so-you-think-you-can-time-the-markets\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.infinitysolutions.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/bigstock-Successful-Trader-Back-View-O-299291422.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-30T00:48:03+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-10-30T03:19:06+00:00\",\"description\":\"Trying to time the markets is a poor investment strategy. 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